This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. Now covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis on the PGA Tour. The Masters - Golf: Long shots have serious Augusta chances. Weve been up and down with our PGA Tour expert picks and best bets for these elevated events thus far but after a solid week at the Honda that was close to being great, were about to lock in with our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks. Sungjae Im is one of the few players in this field who is teeing it up for the fourth week in a row. The results make sense, considering a profile of elite ball striking from deficient putters has been the formula historically at this event across winners like Hideki Matsuyama, Kyle Stanley, and Kevin Stadler. Covering the bases here, the one thing Ill say about Rahm is that his floor feels so extremely high that it feels wholly necessary to play him as a One and Done at one of the designated events. READ MORE: Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? Mayo: Tom Kim (45-1, DraftKings) While hell likely be my pick to win next week, Kims odds have simply slipped too far for his upside this week. Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele, who both had solid performances at the WM Phoenix Open, come in tied for third with +1600 odds-to-win. His last two trips to Bay Hill havent been great (61st in 2022 and 43rd in 21), however, he finished 5th in 2020 and 6th in 2019. MLB Odds: Braves 2B Ozzie Albies A Most Hits Longshot Candidate? The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Kirk will take home the top Like comment Flip He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. Stats pulled across Last 36 Rounds unless otherwise noted. Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. As for Tyrrell Hatton, hes quietly been playing phenomenally this season, with a T40 and T6 at the Genesis and Phoenix, respectively, showing up at the elevated events. Just a few weeks after going off at +2800 at the WM Phoenix Open another tournament with an elite field on a challenging course Kim is sitting at +5000 for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Odds, expert picks to win, Keith Mitchell hits from the fourth hole tee during the third round of The Genesis Invitational golf tournament. We shouldve had some equity in Chris Kirk but tried to get too cute. Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with PGA Tour picks, Bradley finished alone in 2nd at Torrey Pines this season and tied for 20th a week later in Phoenix, so hes trending up despite missing the cut at Riviera. Full Leaderboard . We hate touts. Powers, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (-120) over Corey Conners (DraftKings) Keegans Bay Hill record is as good as anybodys in this field not named Rory McIlroy, and hes coming in in fine form. I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. Rahm or Rory at Bay Hill. Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. The 2022 tournament, the 86th edition, starts on Thursday 7th April and will conclude on Sunday 10th April. The benefit of having a field this loaded, is youll usually find a few high upside plays slip to the very bottom of DFS pricing. One and Done Pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm. These odds are just too long to overlook for a player performing as well as he is right now. In six appearances at Bay Hill, Fleetwood has four top-25s finishes, including three top 10s (career-best third-place finish in 2019). To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. The trends show nine of the last 10 winners have opened at 55-1 odds or shorter, and with this year being the WM Phoenix Opens first as an elevated event, it seems that trend is poised to continue. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. The British Open will be played this week for the first time since 2019. I think he comes in and continues that with a strong Top 10 at great odds for the 11th-ranked player in the world. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Honda: Chris Kirk. The Twitter handle is a joke. RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our DFS expert dives deep into Rory McIlroys staggering advanced metrics. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. The Inquirer is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. You read that correctly: Not only did he finish T4 last year, but he also won the Genesis Invitational in 2020. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. by Mastercard. None of us trade notes before the week but weve all arrived at the same conclusion in regards to a particular Wake Forest Demon Deacon at an event with the most iconic Wake Forest alum in the tournament name. Lets take a look at some players down the board who could turn some heads at Bay Hill this week: Like in any sport, a big part in finding success in golf betting comes down to timing and noticing patterns. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. His game with the way hes hitting the ball right now should suit Bay Hill and we should see him improve from a T17 at the API a year ago. (Photo by Luke Walker/Getty Images), Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. Honda: Chris Kirk. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Zozo: Sungjae Im. Now its Rorys turn. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Best irons for 2023 for every handicap and playing style, Three sleeper picks to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, including Tommy Fleetwood at 80/1, Ratings for LIV Golf's 2023 TV debut are in and they aren't pretty, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. The list of top performers at the Arnold Palmer Invitational reads like a list of major champions and annual major contenders. Bet with your head, not over it. With that said, the below plays still offer great value in the placement betting market. For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. Instead, McDonald is jumping on several severalunderdogs, including two MASSIVE longshots of well over 80-1! Despite two disappointing finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles, McIlroy was still brilliant from tee-to-greenlosing over eight strokes with the putter during that stretch. Genesis: Collin Morikawa. The 2014 FedEx Cup champion has long odds this week to the tune of +10000 to win. Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13. Riley Hamel. TPC Scottsdale is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost. | RoboTest, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. Prior to Hovland, Mayakoba has been a week for middle- to longshots. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place performance in The Genesis Invitational at Riviera CC February 16 - 19 in his last tournament.Thomas has one win, and an average finish of 20th, in his 20 events during the past year However, Taylor Pendrith is a much more talented player than the gaudy odds would suggest. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. These are the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks and best bets for what should be a great week at Bay Hill. The faster the greens and harder the course the better chance Zalatoris has of victory. Golfweek - Adam Woodard 19h It pays to play well on the PGA Tour, just ask this weeks winner, Chris Kirk. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open. Since the start of the season, hes gaining 1.86 strokes per roundthird to only Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler. The expert also just missed a MASSIVE 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Like Lowry, Fleetwood is built to contend at events like this. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Top-10 results from the Honda Classic: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Eric Cole +900); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Chris Kirk +330); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 17 (up 17.6 units); Mayo: 6 for 16 (up 12.1 units); Gehman: 5 for 17 (up 9.55 units); Lack: 3 for 8 (up 2.9 units); Hennessey: 4 for 17 (up 2.85 units); Powers: 2 for 17 (down 8.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 17 (down 8.95 units). Big Shot Bob and another expert contact hitter are among Paulie's longshot options for Southern Hills and the 2022 But despite all that, there is still one longshot whos made his way onto my outright card anyway, and its this man right here. Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Gdula: Sungjae Im (-108) over Tyrrell Hatton (FanDuel) Both have played well at Bay Hill, and the long-term tee-to-green data favors Im, so thats where Im going. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. This years purse is set at $20,000,000, and some exciting players are in the field. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. Earlier this week, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the favorites at Southern Hills. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. WebSPRING SALE: All full size roll styles on sale for $29.95 each Limited Time FREE U.S. 4 Potential PGA TOUR Golf Sleeper Picks: BMW Championship. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. The course sets up for Rory as a drawer and bomber. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Last weeks champion and new World No. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Zalatoris has spoken only about the fact that his favorite style of golf is U.S. Open conditions, and with rock-hard greens and extremely thick rough, Bay Hill is about as close to a U.S.-Open-like setup well see all season. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. The 2013 Masters champions odds-to-win the Genesis are +5500, which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks. McIlroy (19-2) and Scheffler (11-1) also are top contenders in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field, followed by Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1) and Justin Thomas (23-1). Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau Heres our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week. 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The 2013 Masters champions odds-to-win the Genesis are +5500, Which are better odds than you usually find... Score at the title the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational reads Like a list of major champions annual... I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the first Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the PGA golf. Leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the few players in placement... Is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost two MASSIVE longshots of well over 80-1 odds the... The Masters - golf: long shots have serious Augusta chances he finish T4 Last year but...: OUR DFS expert dives deep golf longshots this week Rory McIlroys staggering advanced metrics also... Below to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers picks and best bets for what should be great...
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